Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008745 0.010290 0.012146 0.014578 0.017737 0.021784 0.027503
2025-09-28 0.006972 0.008871 0.011430 0.015267 0.021133 0.030276 0.046836
2025-10-05 0.006207 0.008346 0.011479 0.016691 0.025828 0.042873 0.082899
2025-10-12 0.005518 0.007716 0.011136 0.017297 0.029358 0.055729 0.136132
2025-10-19 0.004858 0.006981 0.010431 0.017021 0.031077 0.066147 0.203015
2025-10-26 0.004416 0.006507 0.010041 0.017177 0.033744 0.081266 0.331343
2025-11-02 0.003998 0.006002 0.009495 0.016865 0.035198 0.094584 0.517361
2025-11-09 0.003561 0.005409 0.008693 0.015819 0.034373 0.099757 0.691292
2025-11-16 0.003220 0.004944 0.008062 0.015006 0.033893 0.106256 0.963458
2025-11-23 0.003039 0.004740 0.007896 0.015204 0.036445 0.129589 1.995919
2025-11-30 0.002829 0.004461 0.007544 0.014887 0.037299 0.146517 3.854853
2025-12-07 0.002621 0.004166 0.007125 0.014320 0.037118 0.157996 7.195734
2025-12-14 0.002463 0.003967 0.006911 0.014322 0.039355 0.193972 41.001029
2025-12-21 0.002372 0.003887 0.006939 0.014990 0.044728 0.276948 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002339 0.003911 0.007195 0.016379 0.054527 0.479587 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002251 0.003820 0.007177 0.016969 0.061424 0.741005 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002123 0.003631 0.006907 0.016700 0.063649 0.957799 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002030 0.003507 0.006774 0.016852 0.068689 1.433221 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001922 0.003344 0.006525 0.016548 0.070700 1.916732 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001788 0.003116 0.006096 0.015528 0.067087 1.943886 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001677 0.002928 0.005747 0.014736 0.064713 2.075305 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001620 0.002854 0.005677 0.014929 0.069925 3.522291 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001546 0.002736 0.005481 0.014620 0.071061 4.858272 NaN